MLB: Top MLB Weekend Power Trends 6/4-6/6

MLB: Top MLB Weekend Power Trends 6/4-6/6

MLB: Top MLB Weekend Power Trends 6/4-6/6


2010-06-04

There’s no interleague action on this weekend’s baseball schedule but that certainly doesn’t mean there isn’t any intriguing matchups to watch for. In fact, in anything, this might be one of the best weekend slates we’ve seen this season. Several compelling matchups are on tap, including a continuing set between the league’s hottest teams, the Braves and Dodgers. Also in the Senior Circuit, the surprising Padres will take the trek cross country to the East coast for a 7-game road trip starting in Philadelphia vs. Roy Halladay. There’s also a great A.L. East series between New York and Toronto, as well as matchups between leaders of that and the Central Division with the co-leaders of the A.L. West. Let’s take a look at those series’ and reveal this weekend’s list of Top StatFox Power Trends to consider.

As mentioned just earlier, the league’s two hottest clubs, the Braves and Dodgers, are getting together for a four-game set out in Los Angeles. Clearly the Celtics-Lakers NBA Finals’ series isn’t the only game in town. After winning the series opener on Thursday night, the Braves have won nine straight games. Since April 30th, they are 24-8. The Dodgers haven’t been a whole lot worse, going just a game worse, at 23-9. Atlanta leads the N.L. East by 3-games over Philadelphia while Los Angeles remains 1-1/2-games back of San Diego in the West. Of course, the Braves are just 13-16 on the road, and should be tested the next three days by L.A.’s 18-9 home mark. Elsewhere in the National League, the two teams closest to the Dodgers and Braves meet, when San Diego visits Philadelphia. The Phillies’ offensive struggles have been well documented, as they have scored just 14 runs, including getting shutout five times, in their current 2-9 swoon. It won’t get much easier vs. the Padres, who are allowing just 3.3 runs per game and a .230 opponent batting average this season.

In the American League, Toronto has a chance to gain ground on the wildcard spot when it hosts the Yankees. The Jays have stayed in the hunt by clubbing home runs at a record pace. They have hit 91 in 55 games, putting them on a season-long pace for 268. By comparison, the Yankees, more well known for the big bats in their lineup, have hit just 61. Still, Toronto trails New York by 3-1/2-games right now and needs a series win to close the gap. In Texas, another intriguing series is set, as the Rays visit. As you’ll see from the powerful trend below, the Rangers may be in a good spot to beat up on Tampa’s incredible pitching staff this weekend. Texas is currently tied atop the West with Oakland, who happens to be hosting the Central-leading Twins over the next three days. Minnesota has lost three straight games for the third time in the last 17 days, mustering just three total runs during the skid in Seattle. The A’s haven’t done anything remarkably well, yet are on a 9-4 surge that has got them back to even in the standings with the Rangers.

Again, this looks to be a very exciting weekend on the diamond, as if this past few days weren’t noteworthy enough. Let’s take a look at a Top StatFox Power Trend from each series that you might want to account for in your wagering.

<b><i>SAN DIEGO at PHILADELPHIA</b></i>

<li>PHILADELPHIA is 77-46 (+28.3 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 5.1, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 1*)

<b><i>CINCINNATI at WASHINGTON</b></i>

<li>WASHINGTON is 14-50 (-29.4 Units) against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. The average score was WASHINGTON 3.8, OPPONENT 5.7 - (Rating = 2*)

<b><i>SAN FRANCISCO at PITTSBURGH</b></i>

<li>PITTSBURGH is 40-24 UNDER (+13.1 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The average score was PITTSBURGH 2.9, OPPONENT 5.3 - (Rating = 1*)

<b><i>FLORIDA at NY METS</b></i>

<li>GONZALEZ is 63-53 (+27.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents as the manager of FLORIDA. The average score was FLORIDA 5.2, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 2*)

<b><i>CHICAGO CUBS at HOUSTON</b></i>

<li>CHICAGO CUBS are 4-17 (-20.7 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season this season. The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 2.8, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 6*)

<b><i>MILWAUKEE at ST LOUIS</b></i>

<li>MILWAUKEE is 26-11 OVER (+14.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. The average score was MILWAUKEE 5.4, OPPONENT 5.7 - (Rating = 2*)

<b><i>COLORADO at ARIZONA</b></i>

<li>ARIZONA is 17-3 OVER (+13.9 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. The average score was ARIZONA 5.9, OPPONENT 6.9 - (Rating = 4*)

<b><i>ATLANTA at LA DODGERS</b></i>

<li>LA DODGERS are 37-19 UNDER (+14.8 Units) in June games over the last 3 seasons. The average score was LA DODGERS 3.3, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 1*)

<b><i>NY YANKEES at TORONTO</b></i>

<li>GASTON is 45-33 (+12.0 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 as the manager of TORONTO. The average score was TORONTO 4.9, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 0*)

<b><i>BOSTON at BALTIMORE</b></i>

<li>BOSTON is 3-10 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.2 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was BOSTON 4.5, OPPONENT 5.3 - (Rating = 2*)

<b><i>TAMPA BAY at TEXAS</b></i>

<li>TEXAS is 14-3 (+13.9 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was TEXAS 6.2, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 3*)

<b><i>CLEVELAND at CHI WHITE SOX</b></i>

<li>CHI WHITE SOX are 30-10 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in home games vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. The average score was CHI WHITE SOX 5.5, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 1*)

<b><i>DETROIT at KANSAS CITY</b></i>

<li>KANSAS CITY is 16-3 OVER (+12.9 Units) vs. a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better over the last 2 seasons. The average score was KANSAS CITY 5.9, OPPONENT 6.3 - (Rating = 3*)

<b><i>MINNESOTA at OAKLAND</b></i>

<li>OAKLAND is 16-5 UNDER (+10.1 Units) in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage of .345 or better over the last 2 seasons. The average score was OAKLAND 2.8, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 1*)

<b><i>LA ANGELS at SEATTLE</b></i>

<li>LA ANGELS are 15-5 (+10.1 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. The average score was LA ANGELS 4.7, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 1*)

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