December 18th MLB news ... Welcome to Baseball parlay, the place with all of the baseball odds and betting information.
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NLCS Game: Phillies facing elimination, Giants look to advance 2010-10-21
Sportsbook.com Phillies vs. Giants Betting Odds: Philadelphia -123, San Francisco +113 Total: 5.5
Coming into the year, Roy Halladay (21-10, 2.44 ERA) had never pitched in a postseason game. Thursday he starts the biggest game of his career as the Phillies try to stave off elimination and send the series back to Philadelphia. Tim Lincecum (16-10, 3.43 ERA) goes for San Francisco in what becomes a rematch of Game 1, a 4-3 Giants victory.
San Francisco tagged Halladay for four runs on eight hits, including two home runs in the series opener. The loss dropped Halladay to 0-3 lifetime against San Francisco. His ERA against the Giants now stands at 6.66 and his WHIP is a hefty 1.48. It was Halladay’s first loss since August 30, breaking up a streak of six consecutive wins. The right-hander pitched well on the road this year, going 10-5 with a 2.57 ERA. With the total posted at just 5.5, it’s interesting to note that only one of Halladay’s last seven starts have gone under the total (five over, one push).
Lincecum comes into the matchup after picking up the win in Game 1, giving up three runs on six hits over seven innings. He allowed two home runs for just the second time this year. With the win, Lincecum is now 3-0 with a 1.57 ERA over his last three starts. Including the postseason, he is 10-7 with a 3.40 ERA at home this year. The Game 1 victory improved his career record against Philadelphia to 3-1. His ERA in those starts in 3.09 with a WHIP of 1.03.
If you are a believer in MLB betting trends there are plenty that favor San Francisco tonight, including:
Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts. (112-87 over the last 5 seasons.) (56.3%, +55.3 units. Rating = 3*).
Play On - Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL. (172-99 since 1997.) (63.5%, +77.4 units. Rating = 3*).
With the most generous dime lines in the industry, it is no wonder Everybody Bets on baseball at Sportsbook.com.
MLB: Run line underdog parlay looks promising2010-07-20
If you don’t mind backing a couple of teams buried at the bottom of their respective divisions, there is a promising run line underdog parlay on Monday night’s baseball betting board. According to a 42-8 system from FoxSheets, both the Mariners and Orioles have a good shot at making things interesting at home against teams currently in the playoff hunt. Let’s take a look at the system and how both teams might take advantage. For the latest prices and other key betting info, visit the GAME MATCHUPS page on Sportsbook.com.
Here is the key system under consideration:
• Play On - Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (BALTIMORE & SEATTLE) - below average AL hitting teams (AVG <=.265) against teams with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), in July games. (42-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (84.0%, +31.7 units. Rating=4*). The situation's record this season is: (5-0 +5 units).
As you can see, this powerful angle is already 5-0 in 2010, giving bettors a great opportunity to play either, both, or parlay the two qualifying clubs on Monday night. Here’s a quick preview of both games.
Tampa Bay (55-35) at Baltimore (29-61), 7:05 p.m. EDT
Money Line: Tampa Bay -180
Facing the team with the worst record in the majors might help Tampa Bay bounce back from a losing series against the club with the best. The Rays hope to do so while trying for a fifth straight road win over the Baltimore Orioles on Monday night.
Tampa Bay (55-36) missed its chance to gain ground on AL East-leading New York by losing two of three to the Yankees over the weekend. Despite being three games behind New York, the Rays have won 11 of 15 overall and hope a visit to Baltimore will help them regain some momentum.
The Rays have won nine of 11 against the Orioles (29-62), including five of six this season. Tampa Bay swept a three-game set at Baltimore from April 12-14.
The Rays hope Wade Davis (6-9, 4.69 ERA) can continue his success against the Orioles while trying to build on his first victory since May 29. Davis, 0-5 with a 6.32 ERA in his previous six starts, allowed two runs and four hits in seven innings of a 5-2 win over Cleveland on July 8.
The right-hander has allowed one run while striking out 13 in 16 innings to win both of his career starts against the Orioles. Davis recorded his only complete game by yielding four hits and striking out 10 in a 3-0 win at Baltimore on Sept. 17.
After being swept at home by Toronto, the Orioles counter with Chris Tillman (1-3, 5.64) as he tries to follow up the best outing of his young career.
In his return from Triple-A Norfolk, Tillman took a no-hitter into the seventh inning and outpitched Cliff Lee in his Rangers debut, allowing one unearned run and two hits in 7 1-3 innings of a 6-1 win at Texas on July 10. The 21-year-old Tillman had an 8.40 ERA in his previous four starts this season.
Chicago (50-40) at Seattle (35-56), 10:10 p.m. EDT
Money Line: Chicago -115
Mired in their worst losing stretch in three months, the AL Central-leading White Sox look to avoid a fourth straight defeat Monday night against the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. Chicago (50-41) is 26-5 since June 9, and had won nine a row before dropping the final three of a four-game series at Minnesota. The White Sox blew a three-run, ninth-inning lead in a 7-6 loss Sunday. Chicago, which has a 1 1/2-game lead over Minnesota and Detroit, has not lost four straight since April 15-18.
Facing Seattle (39-56) could help the White Sox get back on track. Though the Mariners snapped a four-game skid with a 2-1, 10-inning victory over the Los Angeles Angels on Sunday, they are 3-12 in July and dropped three one-run games at Chicago from April 23-25.
Seattle is batting .220 and averaging 2.8 runs this month.
Chicago rookie Daniel Hudson (0-0, 11.25 ERA) makes his second start of the season and first ever against Seattle. The Mariners counter with David Pauley (0-1, 1.00), who will face the White Sox for the first time.
MLB: Top MLB Weekend Power Trends 6/4-6/62010-06-04
There’s no interleague action on this weekend’s baseball schedule but that certainly doesn’t mean there isn’t any intriguing matchups to watch for. In fact, in anything, this might be one of the best weekend slates we’ve seen this season. Several compelling matchups are on tap, including a continuing set between the league’s hottest teams, the Braves and Dodgers. Also in the Senior Circuit, the surprising Padres will take the trek cross country to the East coast for a 7-game road trip starting in Philadelphia vs. Roy Halladay. There’s also a great A.L. East series between New York and Toronto, as well as matchups between leaders of that and the Central Division with the co-leaders of the A.L. West. Let’s take a look at those series’ and reveal this weekend’s list of Top StatFox Power Trends to consider.
As mentioned just earlier, the league’s two hottest clubs, the Braves and Dodgers, are getting together for a four-game set out in Los Angeles. Clearly the Celtics-Lakers NBA Finals’ series isn’t the only game in town. After winning the series opener on Thursday night, the Braves have won nine straight games. Since April 30th, they are 24-8. The Dodgers haven’t been a whole lot worse, going just a game worse, at 23-9. Atlanta leads the N.L. East by 3-games over Philadelphia while Los Angeles remains 1-1/2-games back of San Diego in the West. Of course, the Braves are just 13-16 on the road, and should be tested the next three days by L.A.’s 18-9 home mark. Elsewhere in the National League, the two teams closest to the Dodgers and Braves meet, when San Diego visits Philadelphia. The Phillies’ offensive struggles have been well documented, as they have scored just 14 runs, including getting shutout five times, in their current 2-9 swoon. It won’t get much easier vs. the Padres, who are allowing just 3.3 runs per game and a .230 opponent batting average this season.
In the American League, Toronto has a chance to gain ground on the wildcard spot when it hosts the Yankees. The Jays have stayed in the hunt by clubbing home runs at a record pace. They have hit 91 in 55 games, putting them on a season-long pace for 268. By comparison, the Yankees, more well known for the big bats in their lineup, have hit just 61. Still, Toronto trails New York by 3-1/2-games right now and needs a series win to close the gap. In Texas, another intriguing series is set, as the Rays visit. As you’ll see from the powerful trend below, the Rangers may be in a good spot to beat up on Tampa’s incredible pitching staff this weekend. Texas is currently tied atop the West with Oakland, who happens to be hosting the Central-leading Twins over the next three days. Minnesota has lost three straight games for the third time in the last 17 days, mustering just three total runs during the skid in Seattle. The A’s haven’t done anything remarkably well, yet are on a 9-4 surge that has got them back to even in the standings with the Rangers.
Again, this looks to be a very exciting weekend on the diamond, as if this past few days weren’t noteworthy enough. Let’s take a look at a Top StatFox Power Trend from each series that you might want to account for in your wagering.
<b><i>SAN DIEGO at PHILADELPHIA</b></i>
<li>PHILADELPHIA is 77-46 (+28.3 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 5.1, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 1*)
<b><i>CINCINNATI at WASHINGTON</b></i>
<li>WASHINGTON is 14-50 (-29.4 Units) against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. The average score was WASHINGTON 3.8, OPPONENT 5.7 - (Rating = 2*)
<b><i>SAN FRANCISCO at PITTSBURGH</b></i>
<li>PITTSBURGH is 40-24 UNDER (+13.1 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The average score was PITTSBURGH 2.9, OPPONENT 5.3 - (Rating = 1*)
<b><i>FLORIDA at NY METS</b></i>
<li>GONZALEZ is 63-53 (+27.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents as the manager of FLORIDA. The average score was FLORIDA 5.2, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 2*)
<b><i>CHICAGO CUBS at HOUSTON</b></i>
<li>CHICAGO CUBS are 4-17 (-20.7 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season this season. The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 2.8, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 6*)
<b><i>MILWAUKEE at ST LOUIS</b></i>
<li>MILWAUKEE is 26-11 OVER (+14.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. The average score was MILWAUKEE 5.4, OPPONENT 5.7 - (Rating = 2*)
<b><i>COLORADO at ARIZONA</b></i>
<li>ARIZONA is 17-3 OVER (+13.9 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. The average score was ARIZONA 5.9, OPPONENT 6.9 - (Rating = 4*)
<b><i>ATLANTA at LA DODGERS</b></i>
<li>LA DODGERS are 37-19 UNDER (+14.8 Units) in June games over the last 3 seasons. The average score was LA DODGERS 3.3, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 1*)
<b><i>NY YANKEES at TORONTO</b></i>
<li>GASTON is 45-33 (+12.0 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 as the manager of TORONTO. The average score was TORONTO 4.9, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 0*)
<b><i>BOSTON at BALTIMORE</b></i>
<li>BOSTON is 3-10 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.2 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was BOSTON 4.5, OPPONENT 5.3 - (Rating = 2*)
<b><i>TAMPA BAY at TEXAS</b></i>
<li>TEXAS is 14-3 (+13.9 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was TEXAS 6.2, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 3*)
<b><i>CLEVELAND at CHI WHITE SOX</b></i>
<li>CHI WHITE SOX are 30-10 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in home games vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. The average score was CHI WHITE SOX 5.5, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 1*)
<b><i>DETROIT at KANSAS CITY</b></i>
<li>KANSAS CITY is 16-3 OVER (+12.9 Units) vs. a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better over the last 2 seasons. The average score was KANSAS CITY 5.9, OPPONENT 6.3 - (Rating = 3*)
<b><i>MINNESOTA at OAKLAND</b></i>
<li>OAKLAND is 16-5 UNDER (+10.1 Units) in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage of .345 or better over the last 2 seasons. The average score was OAKLAND 2.8, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 1*)
<b><i>LA ANGELS at SEATTLE</b></i>
<li>LA ANGELS are 15-5 (+10.1 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. The average score was LA ANGELS 4.7, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 1*)
MLB: Phillies and Dodgers NLCS Betting Preview2009-10-16
The 2009 National League Championship Series is a rematch of the 2008 version, and for this year, it is the Dodgers that are expected to avenge their loss and bring the pennant back to Los Angeles. They are a -120 series favorite at Sportsbook.com. Of course, there are also numerous other team, player, game & series betting options to consider. Read on for a preview of the NLCS then head on over to the LIVE ODDS page to examine all the available wagering opportunities.
The Los Angeles Dodgers were dismissed in five games by the eventual World Series champion Philadelphia Phillies last October and believe they have advantages 12 months later in their favor. Though the Dodgers lack a true No.1 ace, manager Joe Torre is confident he can matchup with the Phillies better by mixing and matching to situations and still have added depth to turn to a pitcher that was a starter during the regular season if his chosen starter struggles early.
In last year’s NLCS, Los Angeles started five right-hand pitchers. Expect to see lefties Clayton Kershaw and Randy Wolf in the first four games as starting pitchers to hopefully combat Philly sluggers Ryan Howard and Chase Utley. Torre is still contemplating who the other starters will be, but rest assured he will put Los Angeles in the best position to win the series based on his history.
On offense, a year’s experience should be invaluable to L.A. Last year they were loose in sweeping the Cubs, but everyone but Manny Ramirez puckered up once the next round came about. Andre Ethier and Matt Kemp are the two most likely keys for the Dodgers offense; however the bottom of the order can also play an important role and Torre likes the experience from players like Casey Blake to deliver.
This is the Dodgers eighth NLCS and first back-to-back in 31 years. Ironically, exactly half of their appearances in this round of the postseason have been against Philadelphia.
The Phillies are looking to make a historical statement with visions of becoming the first NL team to win back-to-back World Series since the 1975-76 Cincinnati Reds. Philadelphia in fact is the first National League team to make consecutive appearances in the NLCS since Atlanta in 1995-96. It’s hard to fathom the Phillies will shutdown like St. Louis did against the Dodgers in the first round, since they led the league in home runs, scoring and most extra bases hits. The quartet of Raul Ibanez, Jayson Werth, Howard and Utley were the first group of Phillies to hit 30 or more home runs in a season.
Look for Cole Hamels to be the Game 1 starter. Though the lefty has not been nearly as effective as last season, he’s rested and loves pitching at Dodger Stadium. In three starts in L.A., Hamels has pitched 23 innings, allowing three runs on 15 hits, striking out 17 and walking just five batters. In his career he is 4-0 with a 1.64 ERA facing Los Angeles hitters.
Expect manager Charley Manuel to save Cliff Lee for Game 3 at home, which gives him ample rest and also makes him available for Game 7 on normal rest if needed. Manuel will piece together the rest of rotation and expect Chan Ho Park to be added to the bullpen.
Based on the body of work, the Dodgers have distinct edge in the bullpen. Jonathan Broxton and George Sherrill have been lights out for opposing teams for six weeks. Though Brad Lidge picked up two saves in the NLDS, it was out of necessity, not desire. The skipper Manuel had used up all other options in both situations and played the percentages in utilizing Lidge and escaped both times. Has last season’s most dominant closer regained enough confidence to be called upon again? Only Manuel knows with fingers crossed inside his pockets.
Offensive – National League
Runs scored Dodgers 4th Philadelphia 1st
Home Runs Dodgers 11th Philadelphia 1st
Slugging Ptc. Dodgers 7th Philadelphia 1st
Walks Dodgers 4th Philadelphia 7th
On base Ptc. Dodgers 1st Philadelphia 8th
Pitching & Defense
ERA Dodgers 1st Philadelphia 5th
Bullpen ERA Dodgers 1st Philadelphia 9th
Strikeouts Dodgers 2nd Philadelphia 9th
Walks Dodgers 8th Philadelphia 2nd
On base Ptc. Dodgers 1st Philadelphia 7th
Putouts Dodgers 1st Philadelphia 4th
Errors Dodgers 4th Philadelphia 2nd
Key Numbers- The Dodgers won the season series 4-3 and are 9-5 at home against the Phillies and 4-8 in the City of Brotherly Love the last three years. Los Angeles is among the best teams in baseball at home with 52-31 record and is 71-47 against RH starters. Torre’s club was only average in games decided by three or less runs with 59-51 record. Though playing in a weak division, the Dodgers are 20-6 vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs a game on the season. The Phillies were tied with the Angels for the best road record during the regular season at 48-33 and picked up two more wins in Colorado. Conventional wisdom has the Phillies being stymied against left-hand pitching; however a deep and versatile lineup is 29-16 against port-siders. The Phils have been much better in closer contests with a 56-41 record with games decided by three or less runs.
Sportsbook.com Series Odds: Dodgers -120, Phillies Even